Expert horse race selections and exclusive sectionals and reviews from New Zealand

Expert horse race selections and exclusive sectionals and reviews from New Zealand

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Welcome to Formpro

Expert horse race selections and exclusive sectionals and reviews

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No South Island meetings previewed now except for major meetings at Riccarton.


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Now free to Formpro subscribers - see selections page for login

 
Subscriber sold on ratings and Pools syndicate Print

 Yesterday I received an email from a long time subscriber who is sold on the Formpro Ratings. He used them to work out why Split Decision was excellent value in the last race at Gore. It was equal top rated after weight adjustments but then he used other strong form factors to make him double his bet and make an excellent profit. His email is here.

Last week I had a handful of emails asking if I was going to run a Sports Pools Syndicate but my gut feeling was to wait till this week and it paid off, as the last game ended in a draw knocking everyone out. There is a  guaranteed $200,000 Pool this week and is likely to be bigger. With 10c units now available, a syndicate can take a very good spread and all it takes is three or four outside results for it to go down to less than one unit live in the last game. The Money Shot, who nailed three from three last weekend for us, is burning the midnight oil studying the stats and knows the teams very well, plus he has a very profitable track record over the last five years we have been doing them. It's also a lot of fun. So I've asked him to spend a percentage of what we have or the whole lot on the Pools syndicate. He may decide to go with 10% unit or 30% unit or even bigger. He may even choose to bypass it. So it is entirely up to him. You can participate in the syndicate if you have a login and all you do is deposit a minimum of $10 into a specified TAB account and email or text me the time and amount deposited. If we have a payout, I just deposit the profits on a pro -rata basis into a TAB or Bank account that you specify. You can enter here.

 
Latest news

Waverley preview here

Subscriber says, 'Ratings have done it again,' here

Sports Pools syndicate 9 Closes Thursday 11.00 p.m. here

Waikato sectional review with many blackbookers here

Ruakaka sectionals here

The Money Shot nails three from three here

Best Bet and Value bet both win well at Hawera here

Value bet of the day, Montetra $7.90, wins well here

Rotorua sectional review here

$2733 Woodville quaddie struck here

Avondale review here

Nice Place 6 $156 ( 4x), quaddie and bet of the day returns for subscribers here

Wanganui sectional review here

Frederick William scores nicely as the the value bet of the day $6 here

Te Rapa sectional review here

Some excellent value collects at the Auckland trots here

$8,336 quaddie struck at Hastings here

IT'S A DUNDEEL - THE QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES DEFEAT AT $1.28 IN REVIEW here

Counties sectional review here

Te Awamutu sectional review here

$100,000 Terminating Pick 6 syndicate here

Matamata quaddie, and $2284 last treble at Hawera here

Free sectional reviews and comments  here

Two trifectas of $110 and $928 Plus a first Four of $1657Two trifectas of $110 and $928 Plus a first Four of $1657
 
'Form Race Factor ' new addition Print

With the Good and Dead tracks a thing of the past for the next few months, one of the strongest form factors we can use is the 'Form Race Factor'. I've recently mentioned how you can use the Formpro Ratings to see at a glance which races are developing into strong form races indicated by the small number beside each and every rating with the number of wins coming out of that race. For example, Heart Of Darkness in the eighth race at Te Rapa yesterday had a 2 beside her last start rating and on closer investigation, those winners were O'Fille and Testa Secret in the Group 3 Cuddle Stakes and she battled on okay for a 4.6 length ninth. This was obviously a drop back in class and with the 3kg claim, looked well placed and she was also the best Formpro rated runner after weight adjustments, so the $13.80 was excellent value.

In my Saturday reviews, as the better horses race then, I will start indicating horses to put in your Race Tracker, available on the TAB website, that are worth noting because of the good form of winners etc. For instance, at Awapuni yesterday, in race three, Maeve Davone won well. If we look back at her last race at Te Awamutu, we can see that she ran a strong closing fourth and the sixth and eighth horses have since won. But the third horse, Whatwasthat trailed and unwound strongly late and through the line was strong. So that indicates he will be one to watch out for next start. And it just so happens he is starting in the first race tomorrow at Tauranga and the 1600m will suit as will the 3kg allowance again. There are a couple of other handy horses there, but we now know that Whatwasthat has a very strong 'Form Race Factor' and everything points to a win third up from the strong Baker/Forsman.

 
The best value bet in New Zealand tomorrow Print

The track at Te Rapa, according to the nzracing site, is a Slow 7 as at 2.25 p.m. but a subscriber who lives next to it tells us that it has had steady rain since 3.00 p.m. and was heavy at about 5.30 p.m. With showers forecast tomorrow it is likely to be closer to Heavy than Slow. And with rain forecast at Awapuni, we will have to wait and see.

I have previewed a handful of races tomorrow and posted it here, but it looks to be a day of caution with the tricky tracks. The best value bet all day will be the turbo quaddie with $40,000 injected, so it is very likely to get to $120,000 or more. I have spent a lot of time analysing those races along with the Formpro ratings and will post my thoughts tomorrow morning by 8.30 a.m. You just need a couple of winners paying double figures to get an excellent return.

 
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