Some good feedback about the previews based on the Formpro Ratings. Yes, we have found the winner in both of the two races previewed at Ruakaka and Hawera, but don't expect them to win all the time. But I'd be surprised, over time, if we don't make a good long term profit with the right staking plan. As I mentioned yesterday, some professionals only back two or more horses in a race to ensure a profit. There are various ways to do that. Say you were confident Better Keeper would win today, but if something happened to her like being held up or just having an off day, you could have put enough on Mini Pearl to cover both win bets or if you felt both could win, back both to return the same amount no matter which one wins. It can take a while to work out how much you need to outlay but if you click here, you can download a free betting calculator from Practical Punting to help you.
One subscriber asked me how I work the ratings out. I take into account many factors like the class of the field, the time and tempo of the race, the form the main contenders are in, etc. But what I am trying to nail is a number I can give to the winner that reflects just how strong the win was, taking into account the weight it carried. I do that, knowing on occasions I will get it wrong sometimes, so I'm constantly reviewing the ratings to ensure I did not rate a race too low or too high. Then the horses that finish behind the winner, are rated depending on how far behind and how much weight they carried compared to the winner. The hardest thing to do in racing is to nail the class of every horse, but the Formpro Ratings go a long way towards helping you do that. In fact, I would go as far to say that if you can correctly assess the class of every horse, you would have your own eftpos machine.
In the Bonus quaddie tonight, Raw Energy looks an obvious anchor in the first leg with his best rated box speed and fast ratings. In the second leg, the box speed indicates anything can lead, so take the 4 'Best' rated dogs, 1-2-3-8 and the fastest dog out -9. In the third, take the best four again, 1-3-7-8, and the same in the last, 1-5-6-7.
I've had a few queries about running a Sports Pool syndicate. We aren't this week but may do next week if the Money Shot feels it is worth a really good go.
Just a reminder to the members in the Terminating Pick 6 syndicate, we still have over $4,000 in the kitty for when the right one comes along, probably in June.
No selections for Winton tomorrow, but I will be posting an early preview of any Saturday bets worth having by noon.